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The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 94.7%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 5.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 94.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 4.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 73.7%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22.3%.At the end of new york on Thursday (December 12th), the main contract of CME Bitcoin futures BTC was reported at $100,000, down 1.90% from the end of new york on Wednesday. The main contract of CME ethereum futures DCR was reported at $3,888.50, up 0.52% from Wednesday.Goldman Sachs: We estimate that if the price of Brent crude oil falls to the range of more than $50/barrel by the end of 2025, the growth rate of shale oil supply in the United States will fall below 100,000 barrels per day in 2025, which in turn will push the price of Brent crude oil up by $8 per barrel in 2025.

Goldman Sachs Asset Management announced the liquidation of three exchange-traded funds.Broadcom: Our company and Apple are in a commitment of cooperation for several years.The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 94.7%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 5.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 94.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 4.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 73.7%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22.3%.

The production and transportation capacity is continuously released. The coal supply is guaranteed this winter and next spring. In winter, the heating energy can be greatly improved. As a stabilizer of China's energy supply, coal production, storage and transportation have attracted much attention. At the 2025 National Coal Fair held recently, more than 30 enterprises signed medium-and long-term contracts for coal. Most of the medium-and long-term contracts signed this time are independently connected by the supply and demand sides, and the transaction has a high degree of marketization, which is conducive to the performance of enterprises according to the actual contract volume, and has laid a "reassuring" for coal supply this winter and next spring. The reporter learned from the China Coal Industry Association that in the first 10 months of this year, the national raw coal output above designated size was 3.89 billion tons, up 1.2% year-on-year, and the output reached the highest level in the same period in history. In terms of imports, in the first three quarters, China imported 389 million tons of coal, up 11.9% year-on-year. At the same time, coal storage is also full of confidence. According to the data, at present, the coal storage capacity of power plants nationwide is more than 200 million tons, and the average available days are more than 30 days. (Economic Daily)International precious metal futures closed down sharply, COMEX gold futures fell by 1.87%, COMEX gold futures fell by 1.87% to $2,705.2 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures fell by 4.25% to $31.565 per ounce.Broadcom's adjusted net revenue in the fourth quarter was $14.05 billion, with an expected $14.08 billion. Broadcom's adjusted net revenue in the fourth quarter was $14.05 billion, with an expected $14.08 billion. The adjusted earnings per share in the fourth quarter was $1.42, and it was expected to be $1.39; Revenue in the first quarter is expected to be about $14.6 billion, and analysts expect it to be $14.61 billion.